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Posts tagged “california”

By Robert Rapier on Jul 28, 2007 with no responses

A California Solar Dilemma

After grappling with the thought experiment of replacing all of our electricity consumption with solar panels, the problem came into focus. This problem seems simple, but it isn’t trivial. As I mentioned, I have seen people approach this problem in several different ways, and after tackling it myself I believe that all of those approaches are wrong. So, I decided to produce a graph to help illustrate exactly how I see the problem: Typical Solar Cell Power Curve vs. Actual California Demand Curve on July 12, 2003 The way I came up with this graph was by modeling the solar cell power curve based on Google’s Solar Panel Project, which they update daily for solar electricity produced. You can presume… Continue»

By Robert Rapier on Nov 8, 2006 with no responses

Prop 87 Post Mortem

Well, I was wrong. I have consistently predicted that California’s Proposition 87 would pass. I knew that support had been slipping as gas prices have fallen, but I still thought that when the time came to vote, the voters would choose to punish the oil companies. But Prop 87 looks to be headed toward a sound defeat tonight. What Went Wrong I can point to numerous things that went wrong with the “Yes” campaign. While I really was pretty ambivalent about the initiative, I was not ambivalent about the tactics that the “Yes” campaign utilized. Several months ago I commented to a person that was associated with the Yes campaign that it almost seemed like they were running a parody… Continue»

By Robert Rapier on Nov 4, 2006 with no responses

People in Glass Houses

VentureBeat, a Silicon Valley-based site that focuses largely on venture capital (and venture capitalists), has been hosting a series of essays on California’s Proposition 87, which will be voted on next Tuesday. The owner of Venture Beat, Matt Marshall, recently contacted me and asked if I wanted to provide some “No on 87” essays in response to Vinod Khosla’s series of “Yes on 87” essays. My response to Matt was that I am ambivalent about passage, and so would not write a “No” essay. However, he said that if I wanted to write on alleged misinformation coming from the “Yes” camp, then that would be OK as well. My first essay, Prop 87: Deceptively Marketed, addressed 3 specific claims coming… Continue»

By Robert Rapier on Sep 9, 2006 with no responses

Breaking Down Prop 87

Introduction California’s Proposition 87 promises to reduce oil consumption in California, at no expense to the consumer. I am quite sympathetic to the goal of reducing petroleum dependence. This is a goal to which we should all aspire. But I have my doubts that the promises being made by the Proposition 87 campaign can be kept. I also dispute many of the claims made by the Prop 87 proponents. Finally, I have a problem with the way the oil industry is being portrayed in order to win support for this measure. While I do not intend for this to be a point by point rebuttal of Ana Unruh Cohen’s recent essay in support of Prop 87, I do intend for… Continue»

By Robert Rapier on Sep 2, 2006 with no responses

Addressing Proposition 87 Criticisms

Background Voters in California will go to the polls in November to decide the fate of Proposition 87, also known as the Clean Energy Initiative. However, the ramifications of this proposition have the potential to be felt nationwide. I have previously written a pair of essays on Proposition 87 that you can find here and here. My position is not so much that I am against Prop 87, and I am certainly not against the intent of Prop 87. But I do have concerns about the proposition, which are explained in my previous essays. In response to my essays, Dr. Ana Unruh Cohen, former Rhodes Scholar and the Director of Environmental Policy at the Center for American Progress, asked if… Continue»

By Robert Rapier on Aug 25, 2006 with no responses

More on California’s Proposition 87

Previously, I wrote an essay describing exactly why California’s Prop 87 will raise gasoline prices for Californians: California’s Proposition 87 Yesterday, the Yes on 87 campaign put out a strange press release. It read in part: LOS ANGELES, Aug. 24 /PRNewswire/ — The following memo was sent to the CEO’s of ExxonMobil, Shell, Chevron, and other oil companies opposing Prop. 87: TO: CEOs of ExxonMobil, Shell, Chevron, and other oil companies opposing Prop. 87 FROM: Chad Griffin, Campaign Manager, Yes on 87 RE: Staffing Changes at No on 87 The full page New York Times ad run yesterday by your national political operation — the American Petroleum Institute — highlighted a messaging problem within your California campaign against Proposition 87…. Continue»

By Robert Rapier on Aug 16, 2006 with no responses

Prop 87 Interview

I was interviewed yesterday by reporter Marc Strassman from Etopia News. There is a brief story, including a link to the interview, at: California Politics Today #631 The interview went in a lot of different directions (not just Prop 87), and it lasted for almost an hour. It went pretty smoothly for the most part. I misspoke on at least two occasions. Once, Mr. Strassman asked about Peak Oil, and said that most studies suggest that it will happen by 2010. I told him that I didn’t think it would be that soon, but I mentioned that the Hirsch report warned that we would need to begin preparations 20 years prior to the peak, and we are certainly within that… Continue»

By Robert Rapier on Aug 13, 2006 with no responses

California’s Proposition 87

Introduction I have intended to write this essay for a couple of months, but I have really struggled with what I wanted to write. Voters in California will decide on Proposition 87 in November. I have a number of friends and acquaintances who support this initiative, and even one who helped write the language of the initiative. Therefore, this essay is difficult to write, as it may offend some people whose friendship I value. I have no doubt that this initiative will pass, but I have a lot of problems with the way this campaign is being run, and how oil companies are being vilified in order to win support for this measure. To be certain, oil companies are looking… Continue»

By Robert Rapier on Jul 14, 2006 with no responses

Peak Oil and L.A.

I have visited 43 states, about 20 foreign countries, and 4 continents, but somehow never made it out to California. That changed last week when I had to take a business trip to L.A. I spent 5 days there, seeing some sights and taking care of business. I visited the La Brea Tar Pits, toured Hollywood, got harassed by the LAPD at Hollywood and Vine, spent a day at Universal Studios, checked out Venice Beach, and drove around the city quite a bit. The topics of Peak Oil and energy utilization were constantly on my mind, but what I saw there was mostly depressing. The trip started out well. The man in the airplane seat next to me struck up… Continue»